DDozier said:
Would the cars being produced for the US have been made in sequence?
I don't know. It's quite possible that they build, say, 50 in a row for the U.S. market, then 5 for Canada, then 40 for Japan, then 10 for Europe; it's equally possible that they intermix them entirely. The computer controls over manufacturing processes were around well before 1990, so the latter would have been technically feasible. However, they needed to ship to all markets at least monthly, maybe even more frequently, so I'm sure that any production that lasted for more than a month was uniformly distributed to markets in proportion to their sales.
DDozier said:
If this is the case it is possible that a bulk of the bad transmissions made it in a single production run of cars headed to the US and only a few made it elsewhere.
I don't think that's possible. Remember, we're talking about 2400 cars worldwide. That was somewhere between 10 and 12 months of production at that time. That means they were virtually certain to have been sent to all markets in equal percentages to the sales in those markets. They don't ship to one market for an entire year, and then start manufacturing for another market.
DDozier said:
Of course this is a guess, but then so are your numbers.
No, my numbers are not guesses. They are extrapolations based on knowledge of actual, published production numbers and actual, published sales figures.
DDozier said:
Do we know worldwide production numbers for the 92 model year?
No, but we can extrapolate worldwide sales (not production) numbers for the '92 calendar (not model) year. More specifically, quoting figures on
this site, they were:
Japan 702
Europe 297
One can assume that calendar year 1992 sales for the NSX were somewhere between the 1270 sold for model year 1992 and the 608 sold for model year 1993, which means they were probably around 1050 (calculated by averaging 8 months selling the '92 model and 4 selling the '93). Canadian sales have generally been around 10 percent of U.S. sales, so you can call them 105. There were probably a few hundred sold in all other markets (Asia/Oceania/Latin America/etc); if those were 550 cars, for a worldwide total of 2600, the U.S. sales were 40 percent; if they were only 150 cars, for a worldwide total of 2200, the U.S sales would have been 45 percent. So from these published numbers, it's safe to assume that U.S. sales were 40-45 percent of worldwide sales at that time; hence the estimate of around 1000 snap ring cars in the States.
DDozier said:
My personal belief is that a vast majority of the 92 US production is in snap ring range
On what basis do you say that? Please show exactly what basis you use to come up with that conclusion, because all the other published, documented numbers indicate that this statement is false.
Keep in mind that, while the transmission numbers can't be tied
precisely to the snap ring range, the fact is, the transmissions come from the transmission assembly line and get transported to the NSX assembly line. It's reasonable to assume that the snap ring transmissions started getting manufactured at one point in time, and starting around that time (plus whatever lag there is in transporting them to the NSX assembly line) were installed in almost all the NSXs built; similarly, they stopped making them in the snap ring range at one time, and shortly thereafter, they stopped getting installed in almost all the NSXs built. Thus it's reasonable to conclude that the snap ring range transmissions were installed in the cars starting at approximately one VIN number and stopping at approximately another one. You can't be certain about any particular car, especially if it's around the time they started or stopped, but you can come pretty darn close.
I am not sure when they stopped getting installed in NSXs, but I know they started getting installed in NSXs about the time they were building VIN MT002600 for the U.S. market, and VINs for 1991 went up as high as MT00321x; hence there were 500-600 snap ring trannies for MY 1991 (the 600 cars in the VIN sequence include some automatics). That leaves 400-500 snap ring trannies for MY 1992, which is less than half of the MY '92 sales of 1131 five-speeds.
DDozier said:
It is clear that some have shown up in Europe after reading posts from others but how many?
Well, we know that NSX sales in Europe have been 11-13 percent of worldwide sales (as noted above), and that snap ring sales are proportional to the number of cars sold in that market. So it's safe to assume that 11-13 percent of the snap ring cars, or around 300, were sold in Europe.
DDozier said:
I do not know it is an interesting discussion but with out all the data may be a waste of time.
Actually, we have pretty good approximations of answers to all the questions you're asking. I just don't see what you are trying to prove by asking where the snap ring cars went (they went all over the world) or why this is relevant to your own personal situation.
DDozier said:
I know you say there are no reported accidents due to snap ring failure, but if my car jumped out of gear at 7k rpm while I was on the track I am sure that would have resulted in a spin.
I don't know why you keep harping on that, because that's not the way the snap ring fails (and besides, jumping out of gear doesn't necessarily cause a spin). Again, that argument is pretty silly, since that's not the way it happens, dontcha think?
DDozier said:
I really miss driving my NSX.
Well, if you had simply ordered the parts from Dali and made the appointment for the repair at the time this all happened, the snap ring repair to your car would probably be completed by the end of the day tomorrow. That's what I don't understand - why you have spent so much time agonizing over this, and analyzing data without any apparent objective that's relevant to your repair, all of which only results in aggravation to you and delays the repair of your car - instead of just concentrating on arranging the repair and paying the $1500, which is not all that big a deal anyway. (It's not peanuts, but it's less than a clutch replacement or a 90K service.) By simply proceeding with the repair, you would probably be paying less than you would under most goodwill scenarios (remember, the goodwill has typically been offered as a partial payment for replacing the entire transmission, not for the $1500 replacement of the snap ring and tranny case), you're not out any money (you're simply paying back what you saved when you bought the car), you would be getting your car back much sooner,
and you would be a lot happier... and isn't enjoying driving your car what it's supposed to be all about?