I read an interesting article about Norway and how they are rethinking pushing so hard for electrification because there is still a vast barrier between the idea of EVs and building actual affordable vehicles.
Why Norway is rethinking its reliance on electric cars - Vox
Electric cars are crucial, but not enough to solve climate change. We can’t let them crowd out car-free transit options.
www.vox.com
And this:
https://arstechnica.com/cars/2023/1...ectric-vehicles-ending-collaboration-with-gm/
There is no affordable EV currently that people want to buy, and the market for the 25k EV is a tough one because anyone looking for a 25k car isn't likely to shell out 3k for charging infrastructure or want to take the risk of having their only vehicle be EV.
I've also done some back of the napkin math using CA as an example and it looks like this:
- 18.4M adults live in a single family home
- 2022 census 55% are owner-occupied housing units.
- So 9M roughly have the ability to buy and install a charging unit for their homes.
Cant really find income+housing data together easily.
- Of the 30M cars on the road in Cali, 425K are currently registered EVs. 1.4% (Thanks Wild Turkey)
- But even if all 9M of those single family, owner-occupied houses buy EVs and install chargers in the next 7 years they won't hit their 50% number. And if they can't nobody else will come close.
- New homes in CA require 220v outlets in the garage.
- New homes in CA desert regions require solar also.
We would have to hire and train a TON of electricians in the next 3 years just to come close to the numbers they want to hit. Not saying it's not possible, it's just a very big task that doesn't seem to be anyone's real focus.