The reason this happened this year is because the second and third teams were very close in the rankings. This can happen any time the difference between a team included, and one excluded, is small. Four team playoff? Sure - and there will be a year in which the difference between number 4 and number 5 is small, and team number 5 will feel aggrieved.
I'm not opposing a true playoff, I'm just pointing out why this came up.
This has been written about extensively in the press since Oklahoma's defeat over the weekend. Here's what the
Times wrote:
Sooners to Play L.S.U., but Numbers Crunch U.S.C.
By JOE DRAPE
Published: December 8, 2003
The Bowl Championship Series announced yesterday that Oklahoma and Louisiana State would play in the national championship game in the Sugar Bowl on Jan. 4. The problem is that Southern California, which like Oklahoma and L.S.U. has only one loss, ended the season ranked No. 1 in the Associated Press news media poll and the USA Today/ESPN coaches poll.
Now the often-criticized system of ranking teams and slotting them into four bowl games worth nearly $90 million has created the possibility of two national college football champions: the winner of the L.S.U.-Oklahoma matchup in the B.C.S. title game, and Southern Cal if it defeats Michigan in the Rose Bowl on Jan. 1.
The coaches poll automatically awards its final No. 1 ranking to the winner of the B.C.S. title game. The news media voters can choose any team as the champion.
"We're the No. 1 team in the country and we'll do everything we can to hold that spot," said Pete Carroll, the Southern Cal coach, whose team finished the regular season on Saturday with a 52-28 victory over Oregon State. "If we win that football game, we feel like we'll be the No. 1 team in the country regardless of what that other bowl is called."
The B.C.S., which was created in 1998 to try to match the top two teams in the country in a championship game, was supposed to prevent a split title, which last occurred in 1997 when the coaches awarded their No. 1 ranking to an undefeated Michigan and the news media their title to undefeated Nebraska.
Until yesterday, the system had generated most of its off-the-field negative headlines from hearings in Congress, where members of the Presidential Coalition for Athletics Reform told lawmakers that the B.C.S. could be in violation of antitrust laws and created a system of haves and have-nots, favoring members of the six most powerful football conferences and Notre Dame, an independent in football. University presidents among the five non-B.C.S. Division I-A conferences insist that their programs are unfairly left out of the national championship picture and branded as second rate, while the six major conferences and Notre Dame control about 95 percent of the $90 million B.C.S. television contract.
But after previously undefeated Oklahoma, then the consensus No. 1 team in the nation, lost by 35-7 to Kansas State on Saturday in the Big 12 Conference championship, the spotlight shone on the B.C.S.'s complicated ranking system. It is a formula that factors the polls, seven computer rankings — including the one administered by The New York Times — strength of schedule, losses and a bonus-point system for so-called "quality wins."
While the Sooners (12-1) dropped from the top spot to No. 3 in the polls, they had the best average among the computer rankings and were judged to have the 11th-toughest schedule in the nation. They retained the No. 1 spot in the B.C.S. ranking, leaving Southern Cal (11-1) and L.S.U. (12-1), a 34-13 victor over Georgia on Saturday in the Southeastern Conference championship game, fighting for No. 2. Even though it had been ranked right behind Oklahoma in both the news media and coaches' polls, Southern Cal was fighting history because no Pac-10 team has ever played in a B.C.S. title game.
"At the end of the year, we're No. 1 in the system," Oklahoma Coach Bob Stoops said. "There's nothing to apologize for."
L.S.U. was helped by the strength-of-schedule component, which is calculated by determining the cumulative record of a team's opponents, as well as the record of its opponents' opponents. The Tigers played the 29th-strongest schedule, according to the B.C.S. ranking, better than the Trojans' 37th-ranked schedule.
"You hear coaches say it's a game of inches," said Paul Hoolahan, the executive director of the Sugar Bowl. "Unfortunately with the B.C.S., now it's a game of fractions."
The B.C.S. selection process has been criticized before. In 2000, a Florida State team with one loss was selected to play undefeated Oklahoma in the national title game even though the Seminoles had lost to another one-loss team, Miami.
In 2001, a Nebraska team with one loss earned a berth in the championship game against undefeated Miami even though the Cornhuskers lost their regular-season finale, 62-36, to Colorado and failed to even make the Big 12 championship game.
But never in the B.C.S.'s history has the top-ranked team in both polls been left out. In fact, in the five previous years, an undefeated, undisputed champion has emerged from the B.C.S. title game. Yesterday, Carroll and L.S.U. Coach Nick Saban bemoaned the lack of a playoff format in Division I-A college football.
"Unfortunately, there seems to be three teams that people would like to see, and the system can't satisfy three teams," Saban said. "Unfortunately, we can't have all three teams because we don't have a playoff."
Big East Commissioner Mike Tranghese, who coordinates the B.C.S., acknowledged that the selection system was flawed, especially when for the second time in three years a team that failed to win its conference championship found its way into the national title game.
"With the events this year, we'd be foolish if we didn't look at it again in the spring," Tranghese said.
The pairings for the remaining three B.C.S. bowls will feature Big East champion Miami (10-2) against Atlantic Coast Conference champion Florida State (10-2) in the Orange Bowl on Jan. 1, and Big 12 champion Kansas State (11-3) against Big Ten runner-up Ohio State (10-2) in the Fiesta Bowl on Jan. 2.
The B.C.S. will not exist in its current form when its contract expires after the 2005 season, according to university presidents from within and outside the system who are holding discussions to make it more inclusive.
It is unclear, however, what form it will take in determining college football's No. 1 and No. 2 teams. Presidents representing the six B.C.S. conferences and Notre Dame and the five non-B.C.S. conferences agreed there would not be a 16-team, single-elimination playoff.
Still, they have not ruled out a four-team playoff, perhaps incorporating existing bowl games. Such a system may have worked well this season.
"I don't think anyone will know who the legitimate national champion is unless all three teams in consideration get the opportunity to play one another," Saban said.
But they will not play one another this year, and the debate over the B.C.S. and determining a national championship may evolve from the haves and have-nots into one about having too many title-holders.
Copyright 2003 The New York Times Company